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Market regime · 24 September 2026
What this means →
7 · Speculative / AI melt-up
The strongest trend, with froth. The S&P sits 11% above trend while AI stocks beat the Nasdaq by 7% in a month and Bitcoin gains 22%. Day 2 of the current spell.
- Regime's typical S&P vs 200-day average
- +11.0%
- Typical VIX
- 19.7
- Share of days since 2019
- 10.6%
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